Jump to content

Predict My Step Count

By Kevin on Jan 26 2012 09:51 PM
Step right up, everyone! I swear that wasn't an intended pun.

Yesterday, I thought of a pretty cool idea. I haven't seen anyone, anywhere else do something like this so it should be really interesting and fun.

Here's your chance to make a prediction and win a prize at the conclusion of the event. Here are the details. I might add more along the way, based on feedback.
  • Predict the total number of steps that are recorded on my Nintendo 3DS, without exceeding the amount. Whoever is closest without going over...wins!
  • Event starts immediately and ends December 31st, 2012 at 11:59 Eastern Standard Time (EST).
  • Post your prediction in this article (or on the Google+ post) to enter the contest.
  • Prize valuation is determined by how many people provide a prediction.
  • Share this article with your friends; the more predictions, the better.
  • Predictions will no longer be accepted after February 12, 2012 at 11:59PM. That's not a random, arbitrary date...it actually means something. "This means you have about two full weeks to get the word out!
  • Predictions can be changed unlimited times until they are no longer accepted. If someone wishes to change their prediction, they simply update their number here, or on the Google+ page.
  • I plan on providing updates every 1st of the month so you can track the accuracy of your prediction.
As a disclaimer to everyone here, I want to make it perfectly clear that I will not cheat in any way. I will carry my 3DS in my hand, pocket, or backpack when traveling somewhere...if I think about it. Lately, I've been doing that rather often so the chances I will forget are unlikely. Various forms of cheating could include the following:
  • strapping my 3DS onto some type of animal and using food as a fetch method
  • duct-taping my 3DS onto a rotating device, such as a ceiling fan or vehicle wheel
  • keeping my 3DS warm by leaving it on top of the dryer, while clothes are drying
After all, why would I cheat to clock my steps? It's not me that's going to win anything; it's you!

For proof, here is a picture I took just moments before creating this article:

(click on image for full view)
Posted Image

Currently, I have 8,358 steps recorded for this year. Will you be able to predict how many steps I will take for the remainder of the year? We'll see about that.

Make your prediction today!

With that, I'm going for a brisk walk.



Current predictions:
  • Chris - 37,500, 37,502
  • Classicgamer - 37,501, 1

3DS

About the Author

Photo
Let me think about this for a while...

Other Interesting Articles


Comments: 22

I'm just going to throw out a random number.

37,500.

View PostChris, on 26 January 2012 - 10:38 PM, said:

I'm just going to throw out a random number.

37,500.

OK, added to the Original Post (OP)

I also added a detail...

"Predictions can be changed unlimited times until they are no longer accepted. If someone wishes to change their prediction, they simply update their number here, or on the Google+ page."
I'm going with a The Price is Right strategy and go 37,501

View PostClassicgamer, on 26 January 2012 - 10:43 PM, said:

I'm going with a The Price is Right strategy and go 37,501

Added, CG.
I'll go ahead and change mine to 37,502.

The Price Is Right strategy doesn't work too well when you can change your prediction.

View PostChris, on 26 January 2012 - 10:47 PM, said:

I'll go ahead and change mine to 37,502.

The Price Is Right strategy doesn't work too well when you can change your prediction.

:rofl:

Changed, Chris.
I'll go with another price strategy and go 1

View PostClassicgamer, on 26 January 2012 - 11:00 PM, said:

I'll go with another price strategy and go 1

OK...

Changed, CG.
Kevin, I'd suggest we should have our guesses hidden and start pming the guesses to you

View PostClassicgamer, on 26 January 2012 - 11:34 PM, said:

Kevin, I'd suggest we should have our guesses hidden and start pming the guesses to you

First off, that would be really chaotic to maintain. While, I totally understand you're reasoning behind this, it would simply be too time-consuming and incredibly hard to track. Remember, the contest is not only for members here. Everyone in the Nintendo Nerds Google+ circle can participate as well. Making Google+ predictions public, while having private predictions here just wouldn't be fair. In essence, having this contest/ event globally public makes it fair so everyone can see what's going on. If private, there would also be speculation on the validity and legitimacy of the event.

Besides, predictions are just that...predictions. Once the final prediction submission date comes (Feb 12th), there's no telling what I'll do. I could walk 10 miles in a day, or simply not carry my 3DS with me for a solid month. I want this to feel as natural as possible for me. Basically, these predictions are, quite simply, relative. There's just no telling what I'll do. I myself, don't even have any unearthly idea how the final result will end up.

View PostKevin, on 26 January 2012 - 10:25 PM, said:

Currently, I have 8,358 steps recorded for this year. Will you be able to predict how many steps I will take for the remainder of the year? We'll see about that.

Jeez. You should take your 3DS with you more often! So far, I walked 39,413 steps with my 3DS this month. I also walked 180,453 steps from August 11, 2011- December 31, 2011!

View PostKing Mika, on 27 January 2012 - 12:04 AM, said:

Jeez. You should take your 3DS with you more often! So far, I walked 39,413 steps with my 3DS this month. I also walked 180,453 steps from August 11, 2011- December 31, 2011!

I've only recently become more interested in reaping the benefits of collecting play coins. I do plan on taking it along with me quite often though.

Do you care to wager a prediction, statistics boy? :P

View PostKevin, on 27 January 2012 - 12:07 AM, said:

Do you care to wager a prediction, statistics boy? :P

I'll post my prediction slighty before February 12, 2012 at 11:59PM EST. B)

View PostKing Mika, on 27 January 2012 - 12:16 AM, said:

I'll post my prediction slighty before February 12, 2012 at 11:59PM EST. B)

A logical approach, lad. I like your style. ;)

View PostKing Mika, on 27 January 2012 - 12:04 AM, said:

...walked 180,453 steps from August 11, 2011- December 31, 2011!

I meant to ask you this before, King Mika...

What's the best way to water-proof your 3DS?

View PostKevin, on 29 January 2012 - 09:36 PM, said:

I meant to ask you this before, King Mika...

What's the best way to water-proof your 3DS?

From sweat? I've never had a problem with sweat on my 3DS in my pocket. If you're going to place your 3DS next to a cold drink in your backpack, the best case that I've seen is the Nintendo 3DS Hard Pouch.

View PostKing Mika, on 29 January 2012 - 11:14 PM, said:

From sweat? I've never had a problem with sweat on my 3DS in my pocket. If you're going to place your 3DS next to a cold drink in your backpack, the best case that I've seen is the Nintendo 3DS Hard Pouch.

:oyh:

You guys will be forced to eventually get my stale sense of humor sooner or later. I figured, with all those steps, that you and your 3DS were at least scrubbing each other's backs.

View PostKevin, on 29 January 2012 - 11:15 PM, said:

You guys will be forced to eventually get my stale sense of humor sooner or later. I figured, with all those steps, that you and your 3DS were at least scrubbing each other's backs.

I tend to perspire much less than your average person. Normally that would be a cause of concern, but I also drink more liquids than your average person, so I guess I'm just lucky.

View PostKing Mika, on 30 January 2012 - 12:35 AM, said:

I tend to perspire much less than your average person. Normally that would be a cause of concern, but I also drink more liquids than your average person, so I guess I'm just lucky.

:rofl:

You're still not getting me, man.

Unfortunately, the humor (or lack thereof) I was trying to incorporate has failed...miserably. I'll leave you with a video I found of you and your 3DS since you two spend so much time together. Note: A 3DS was not available at the time of this recording, therefore, a rubber duckie was used.

View PostKevin, on 30 January 2012 - 12:45 AM, said:

:rofl:

You're still not getting me, man.

Unfortunately, the humor (or lack thereof) I was trying to incorporate hs failed...miserably.

It's not a joke if you have to explain it. :P

BTW where's Bert? Isn't he always around when Ernie's in the tub? :blink:

View PostKing Mika, on 30 January 2012 - 12:58 AM, said:

It's not a joke if you have to explain it. :P

Yeah, I totally failed on that. I can tell you, though, that sabby would have at least caught that.

View PostKing Mika, on 30 January 2012 - 12:58 AM, said:

BTW where's Bert? Isn't he always around when Ernie's in the tub? :blink:

He got jealous and left.
At this very moment in time, I have 15,231 steps recorded in my activity log for 2012.

I've added a new rule. Maybe this will help spur the participation level. No prizes will be awarded until at least 5 people have made a prediction. The good news is, the starting value of the prize will be $20.00. So, once we get at least 5 participants, we can get this going. If not, I don't feel it's necessary to award a prize when there's no ample amount of participation.

Here's another incentive.

For every 5 participants AFTER the first five have made their predictions, the value of the prize will increase by $10.00. Please note that I've capped the maximum value off at $75.00. That's a pretty rewarding incentive, wouldn't you say?

Here's how it might look:

$00.00 --> 0-4 participants
$20.00 --> 5-9 participants
$30.00 --> 10-14 participants
$40.00 --> 15-19 participants
$50.00 --> 20-24 participants
$60.00 --> 25-29 participants
$75.00 --> 30-34+ participants

I don't know what else I can do, folks. I'd be finding all the people I could, from anywhere I could. What are you waiting for?!

Predictions end on February 12th @ 11:59 PM EST